There are different responses to
this question. Some view a Greek default as a doomsday scenario for
America. “If Greece is just unable to pay its debts, we are going
to see finance suddenly freeze up,” said Gus Faucher, an economist
at Moody's Analytics, a research firm.” We are going to see huge drops
in stock prices. Firms are going to get very cautious, very anxious
again. They're going to lay people off. It's going to be very similar
to what we saw in late 2008, early 2009, on top of what we already had.
So it would be really disastrous for the American economy.”
However, not everyone is convinced
that Greece matters a great deal to the U.S. Former IMF chief economist
Raghuram Rajan has said, “If it (the debt restructuring) happens in
a way that banks and markets are prepared for, even if not publicly
but at least privately, it is very well containable.”
Whatever the eventual outcome of
Greece’s debt crisis, the current interconnectedness of the world
financial system means that credit events in Europe—and other disruptions
in financial markets throughout the world—will continue to have potentially
disruptive consequences for the American economy. While American policymakers
do not have much direct influence on events in Europe, they need to
remain vigilant about the challenges that the interconnected financial
system continues to pose for a strong American economic recovery.
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